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Realistically, If a Blackjack dealer in a casino is playing

 
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PostPosted: 06.06.2008, 05:03    Post subject:

How likely is it he will not bust for 5 hands in a row, how bout 6 or 7 or 8 or hands in a row with no busting (dealer)?


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zman492
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PostPosted: 06.06.2008, 05:51    Post subject:

The dealer will bust rougly 28.2% of the time, depending on the rules at the casino. That means he will not bust 71.8% of the time.

To calculate the odds of going N hands without busting simply raise 0.718 to the Nth power and you get

1 hand = 0.718 = 71.8%
2 hands = 0.516 = 51.6%
3 hands = 0.370 = 37%
4 hands = 0.266 = 26.6%
5 hands = 0.191 = 19.1%
6 hands = 0.137 = 13.7%
7 hands = 0.098 = 9.8%
8 hands = 0.071 = 7.1%
9 hands = 0.051 = 5.1%
10 hands = 0.036 = 3.6%

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Mr. Shadowz
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PostPosted: 06.06.2008, 06:30    Post subject:

There are all kinds of statistics out there detailing the odds for all kinds of scenarios. Chances are that the dealer will bust after 3-4 hands. HOWEVER, I've been in games where the dealers didn't bust for 10 hands and made 6, 21s in a row! Then there was the time I won 15 hands in a row and the dealer busted on only 4 hands. So as you can see, statistics are meaningless in most cases.

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CANDY S
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PostPosted: 06.06.2008, 11:07    Post subject:

i dont know ..

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Victor R
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PostPosted: 06.06.2008, 15:33    Post subject:

You just have to be lucky. I don't beleive in counting cards. Sometimes you also depend on the guy next to you.

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sandynlily
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PostPosted: 06.06.2008, 16:41    Post subject:

the probibility of a dealer breaking increaases as more players are added to the table, since if no players remain, the dealer wil not draw and even have the oportunity to bust. so there will be a different number depending on how many players are at the table.

http://www.wizardofodds.com lists the probibility of a dealer breaking somehwere on its website based on the number of players at the table. to find the probibility of the dealer busting X hands in a row you would just raise the probibility of busting one hand to the X th power.

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KN
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PostPosted: 09.06.2008, 12:28    Post subject:

When you make these calculations, they are asuming a random shuffle of the deck. They also assume a single deck game. You NEVER get a random shuffle of a deck in real casino play. You would have to evenly shuffle each deck 7 times to put it into a random order. If you were playing with a multi deck game, multiply that times the number of decks. Do you really think in a 4 deck game the casino is going to shuffle it 28 times? Don't trust shuffle machines either. They can be programmed to shuffle the decks unevenly.

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