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Amy L Guest
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Posted: 29.05.2008, 16:32 Post subject: |
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How much are you willing to bet that your belief regarding global climate change is right and true?
Who said anything about gambling?
Merriam-Webster's online:
Bet: something that is laid, staked, or pledged typically between two parties on the outcome of a contest or a contingent issue.
Gamble: to play a game for money or property; to bet on an uncertain outcome; to stake something on a contingency; take a chance.
I'm not a gambler, either.
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King TootinCommonSense Guest
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Hannah Montannah Guest
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Posted: 29.05.2008, 16:41 Post subject: |
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no you cannot bet money on the computer! this is a bit crazy write somethin else!
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stl_luna_7 Guest
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Posted: 29.05.2008, 16:41 Post subject: |
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Honey.. I am a meteorologist... what you going to show me? I don't believe it.
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andyg77 Guest
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Posted: 29.05.2008, 16:42 Post subject: |
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"and what is lacking cannot be counted." Ecclesiastes
So it would be a sucker bet for sure.
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Susan M Guest
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Posted: 29.05.2008, 16:46 Post subject: |
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No, I don't want to bet. I am certain that my view is correct: that the Earth has a history of climate change and so the future will include climate change also. We have not studied the entire climate of the Earth long enough to have a clue yet.
We have only monitered sun spots for a few decades, for instance. That isn't enough time to understand much.
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StreetBloggers.com Guest
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geewhiz Guest
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Posted: 29.05.2008, 17:04 Post subject: |
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NOT A PENNY.
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Deus Ex Machina! Guest
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Posted: 29.05.2008, 17:05 Post subject: |
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Well Richard Lindzen, perhaps the most reputable skeptic, said he would only make a bet (that AGW wasn't real) if he had 50:1 odds.
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mikeb4205 Guest
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Posted: 29.05.2008, 17:12 Post subject: |
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If you read the article some more about Lindzen's bet, it was misquoted. he said he was 50/50 on whether temperatures would be lower 20 years from now. Don't twist the rhetoric to "prove" that a is skeptic wrong.
Anyway, I don't gamble. Never have, never will. But if I did gamble, I would bet 1 million dollars. Mainly because I can create and manipulate data to prove my point about AGW. So why not make it a billion dollars. It's a science that cannot be proven with just 148 years of data. Try the data over the past 2,000 years. That'll show that we are still cooler than the warm period of the Dark Ages.
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Mark Anthony Guest
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Posted: 29.05.2008, 17:29 Post subject: |
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I don't gamble
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Dana1981, Master of Scien Guest
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Posted: 29.05.2008, 17:42 Post subject: |
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I'd probably take any bet within reason, because I'm almost certain I'm correct. And my certainty isn't based on a political need to be right unlike the 'skeptics', it's based on solid science.
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Heretic Guest
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Posted: 29.05.2008, 17:50 Post subject: |
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Amy, please remove this question. Hanna's right it violates Federal Law. I know it's innocent, but it might not matter.
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backyard_texas Guest
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Posted: 29.05.2008, 18:19 Post subject: |
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???duh? lol
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J S Guest
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Posted: 29.05.2008, 18:28 Post subject: |
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We're all betting our prosperity, the underpinnings of modern civilization and our monetery systems, and the survival of our children and descendents on it. What are coastal lands within 20 feet of current sea level worth" 500 trilion U.S. Dollars? Since there's currently no prospect of letup in the warming ni the next 1000 years, how about within 20 meters of current sea level? 50 meters? Additional personal bets pale in comparison.
The question does not offer a bet, it asks, rhetorically, hypothetically, how much a person would be willing to bet. Claiming it is illegal is simply the latest cheap tactic skeptics will stoop to in order to divert and stifle rational discussion on Yahoo Answers.
Lindzen did dispute the offer of 50:1 odds. He has since clarified that he'll settle for 2:1 odds:
http://www.reason.com/news/printer/34976.html
Assuming that Lindzen arrived at this number based no his knowledge of statistics and probability, that implies that he believes that it's approximately twice as likely that his skeptical position is wrong.
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